Published in: Hans Keman (ed.), 1993: Comparative Politics. New Directions in Theory and Method. VU University Press, Amsterdam, p. 101-119 |
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Institutional Difference, Concepts of Actors, and the Rationality of Politics
Roland Czada
Because man is the meaning-seeking animal,
he gravitates to loci (or institutions) where
meaning is likely to be found or created'
(from: Alan Sica, 1988: 264)
The rational choice approach of decision-making and strategic
interaction is intended to apply everywhere and at any time. The meaning
and solutions of, for instance, a prisoner's dilemma game or the public
goods-problem do not vary across countries (Ostrom, 1990). Being pure
theoretical constructs, they are independent from the bounds of time and
culture. So far, the rational choice paradigm follows a natural science
model of explanation. lt assumes man to be a logically calculating animal.
If all men chose rationally the comparative method
would loose its significance, for decision-making processes would be explained
by a general algorithm of perfectly calculated choices. Cross-national
differences would then be due to the free parameters of this algorithm, e.g.
actors' preferences, available means etc. They could be explained in every case
without cross-national comparisons. Yet it seems that the rational choice
paradigm actuates major advances in the field of comparative politics, rather
than eradicating this approach within political science.
The question is therefore whether the field of
comparative politics could profit from the rational choice approach without
being sacrificed to it. In this Chapter I shall demonstrate that the
functional and cognitive limitations of rationality are an important source of
cross-national variation and that, with some theoretical modifications, the
rational choice paradigm can enhance our understanding and use of the
comparative method in political science. I shall elaborate upon these points, starting
with a critique of the rational choice approach.
5.1 Political Choice: Calculation with Infinite Solutions
Rational
choice is a function of the strength and direction of an actor's preferences,
available means and individual assumptions on the cause-end-effect
relationships of action. From this perspective, cross-national or
intertemporal variations of politics and policies can be seen to be caused by
differences in the preferences, means and causal concepts of political
actors. For example, during the 1970s the British Government tried to win
the trade union's support by proposing a social contract in order to combat
inflation. The government failed, because the unions preferred high wages
and lacked the organizational means to control their membership. In
addition, considering associational and governmental control deficits most of
the union leaders did not really believe that wage restraint would cause less
inflation and more employment. In contrast, the highly organized German
unions preferred not only high wages, but also co-determination, and they
believed firmly in the concept of Keynesianism. During several years they
were able to lower the wage-demands of their members in return for
co-determination and expansionist economic policies (Scharpf, 1987).
Politics is a process based on relations of conflict and consensus among
interdependent individuals and corporate actors. Therefore, political
choices are always concerned with interaction (Keman, 1992a). Treating
unions as rational corporate actors, their own interests, organizational means
and policy-concepts will not fully determine their choices. Since overall
policy-outcomes also depend on the choices of their counter-actors, unions must
calculate the interests, means and policy-concepts of employer associations and
governments; and this again includes an assumption about how these other actors
would estimate the interests, means and policy-concepts of the unions which
they themselves are also trying to calculate at the same time. In this
way, every next step of calculation increases the time-horizon and number of
possible solutions of a choice-problem. Actors, in attempting to
calculate their decisions, meet with cognitive and functional limits of rationality
quite quickly, because of their interdependent relations.
Whereas preferences can be treated as exogenously
given, and available means are relatively easy to calculate, the idea of how a
certain choice effects the realization of a desired end appears to be highly
speculative, because it depends not only on the adequateness of a
policy-concept but also on how other actors will react to one's own
action. This not only causes an 'exploding complexity of simultaneous
optimization' (Scharpf 1991: 278), but can also result in a circular argument
as far as reciprocal assumptions of the choice calculations of co-actors are
concerned.
The attempt to choose perfectly rationally would leave
an actor with endless calculations to perform. Beyond a certain level,
this would be highly inefficient because of the inevitable rising costs of
decision-making. This, however, theoretically means that human action is
incalculable. Nevertheless actors do want to give their choices specific
meaning. This is a procedure of rational (self-) interpretation.
Actors do also assume that there is a meaning in the choices of other actors
and, hence, interpret these choices accordingly. This interpretation
depends on, and adds new elements to, their own world views or ‘cognitive
maps’ (Axelrod, 1976). This causes a significant research problem
for the analysis of actors in comparative politics.
Whereas structural relations between actors can be objectively measured, and
functional correlations between variables can be made across different units of
analysis, actions have to be interpreted in their specific contexts. lt is
impossible, for instance, to explain the motives of a Finnish president dealing
with a party in parliament in comparison to the American political system and
the notion of political rationality that it carries. Strictly speaking,
researchers have opted for the 'policy-maps' (Schneider 1988: 82) of actors and
for the institutional framework of action. In his research on chemical
control policies in a transnational policy-network, Schneider (1988)
investigated the views of all relevant actors on the 'problem' at hand.
He found that conflicting parties can share views on the nature of the problem;
although they differ with regard to their various interests, policy goals,
means, and institutional incentives.
The rationality of political actors is a subjectively
disclosed and apprehended quality of action and thought (Goodwin, 1976: lOff.),
although it is molded by social membership and institutional incentives. lf
attempts to calculate choices turn out to be nothing more than speculations on
an uncertain future, actors can rely on their intuition or they can develop,
learn, or adhere to collective world views. The latter is, of course, a cultural-institutionalist
approach to the problem of rationality which is opposed to economic
explanations based on the assumption of pure wealth maximizing actors (see
Chapter 4 in this book). These actors should stop calculating their
choices only to save information costs. Thus, economic man would
calculate how long it pays to calculate. This, however, is not very
convincing, because one cannot rationally decide where to stop the search for
information. As long as every future search can possibly add decisive new
clues about how to decide more rationally, it is necessarily a more or less
nonrational decision to stop searching (Elster, 1986). Hence, rational
choices can lead to a vicious circle of reasoning without a final result other
than making a subjective decision in the end.
To sum up the principle argument on the status of
rationality in politics and social life: problems with information and
interactional dilemmas between conflicting parties result in uncertainty and
ambiguity. Ego's action becomes meaningless, if he or she lacks any
reliable knowledge about its consequences in terms of alter's reaction.
Due to these obstacles, institutions have emerged as loci where meaning is
likely to be found or created (Sica, 1988: 264). From this perspective,
institutions are a prerequisite of rational, meaningful action. There is,
and cannot be, any rationality without them. For instance, in some Indian
tribes it is rational to give away all of one's belongings in order to win
social status. The 'potlatch' as the procedure is called, makes entirely
rational what Europeans would undoubtedly call irrational. Thus, the
rationality of an action has something to do with the meaning which
institutions attribute to that action, be it through informal cultural features
or by means of formal organizational rules. This is particularly
important for cross-national comparisons, because otherwise we might possibly
call the deliberate choice, of, say, an Italian union leader, irrational, on
the grounds of, say, the Dutch industrial relations system.
Institutions determine the rules of the game
and, thus, furnish the conditions of the choices of individuals as well as of
corporate actors under those rules. Institutions constrain choices and
make actions more predictable. They routinize action and enhance the
opportunities of actors for consequential, strategic interaction.
Political institutions give rights and impose duties on individual and
corporate actors. Simultaneously, they must be regarded as arenas for
conflict, political leadership, ideology and goal-setting (Strom, 1990; Keman,
1992a). As a structural framework for strategic choices, institutions
serve as opportunity structures rather than as frictionless decision-making
machines.
5.2 Cognitive Concepts and Strategic Choices
Institutions
determine the capacity of political actors to act and interact with each
other. Thus, they do not fully determine political action, but instead
leave room for strategic choices. Therefore, a singular knowledge of
institutional rules is insufficient to analyze, explain or forecast political
behavior. Political goals and actors' ideas on cause-end-effect
relationships are equally important. For instance, if political parties
or labor unions believe in Keynesianism they will promote deficit spending and
high wage policies in order to overcome mass unemployment. In such cases,
institutions are to be seen as enabling or restricting certain policies
(Scharpf, 1987; Braun, 1989). Policy-concepts may be rational in
themselves, but can cause unforeseen, non-rational effects depending on
institutional environments. Moreover, policy-concepts may appear to be
rather parochial, at least this depends on the perspective of an actual
observer. His or her primary task is, however, not to judge the
rationality of concepts in themselves. Political scientists should leave
this to economists and should instead concentrate on policy-concepts as
determinants for political choices. This includes research on the relation
between concept-building and institutions, as well as on the relation between
institutions and the realization of concepts.
So far we have distinguished the conceptual
policy-rationality, based for instance on the Keynesian theory, from the political
rationality of actors seeking to promote certain ends in institutional
settings. Comparative policy analysis has to scrutinize political
institutions and policy-concepts (Keman, 1984; Schmidt, 1987). They both
influence political actors' choices. It makes a difference, for instance,
whether or not a central bank chooses to support high wage demands and
governmental deficit spending by an expansionary monetary policy. This
choice depends on the institutional autonomy of a central bank, its political
goals, and its adherence to the causal assumptions of the Keynesian
concept. One could say that the room for choice and strategic interaction
is determined by an actor's institutional position, political goals and
cognitive concept of action (Dean, 1984).
Institutions, goals of an actor and concepts of action
influence each other. This makes it methodologically difficult to use
them as explanatory variables in comparative research designs. Scharpf
(1987) and Schmidt (1987) suggest that it is the will and skill of politicians
that determines political success. In this respect we could say that
political skill is the ability to construct and use political concepts that fit
a given institutional opportunity structure. Thus, institutions determine
the extent to which concepts are in fact rational, i.e. they can help to
realize certain goals in practice. Rational political actors must combine
theoretical concepts with practical constellations of interest intermediation,
power-dependencies, scarce means and so forth.
Political actors can have a multitude of goals and concepts, which are
meaningless in regard to the rational choice paradigm. In fact, there is
non-rationality in politics in the sense of actions not comprehending causality
in attempts to secure ends. Another type of non-rationality consists of a
defiance of rational procedure. In this case actors use causal concepts
to realize their goals, but they do so without considering the institutions
which can be supportive or hostile to the concepts. To apply a political
strategy of polarization in a consociational democracy, as the Dutch labor
party did during the 1980s, would be a case in point (Braun, 1989). If this was
due to a lack of institutional knowledge, it however provides us with a
rational explanation of nonrational behavior. Thus, the existence of
non-rationality does not necessarily mark the limits of a rational choice
approach of explanation in political science.
Political actors can pursue joint interests and share
cognitive concepts. In this case, consensus about policies will be high
and the actors easily coordinated. Integrative institutions as, for
example, corporatist arrangements do also support consensual policies.
The more actors, interests and concepts that are present in a decision-making
process, the less likely it becomes that coordination is feasible as a
decision-making style. Politics then approaches a market-like pluralist
process. Policy outcomes become unforeseen aggregate effects of choices
of single actors. They emerge from the interplay and intersection of more
or less isolated political actions. The rationalities of a particular
actor's choice loose significance if their overall consequences cannot be
calculated but follow from the configurative rationality of a whole social
system instead. In this case, institutions become rather important, not
for the explanation of particular strategic choices on the micro-level of
action, but of the formation of public choices. Many political
institutions have not been designed to influence individual choices, but
instead to translate the wills of individual actors into collectively binding
decisions to be executed by a corporate actor, be it the state, interest
associations or any other corporate body. Electoral systems would be a
particular case in point. Such systems are explicitly designed not to
predetermine the result of elections. All modern institutions of
democracy, public administration, and the rule of law are intended to register
and aggregate rather than to determine individual choices (Czada/Lehmbruch,
1990).
The rational choice paradigm embraces both, the logic
of interaction between a few actors and the logic of public choices, i.e. the
transitory coupling of atomized actors or the joint action of groups and
organizations. The first is dealt with by game theory, the second by
approaches relating to the public goods problem (Arrow, 1951; Downs, 1957;
Olson, 1965; see also Chapter 4 in this book). In the next section, I will
focus on the empirical complexity of political interaction and I shall discuss
some systematic, macro-political aspects of choice in relation to comparative
politics.
5.3 New Challenges in Comparative Politics
The study
of comparative politics is today confronted with more and more differentiated
structures of governance. In most of the liberal democratic countries,
majoritarian national governments are just one source of legitimate authority
(Lijphart, 1984). Sub-national governments, supra-national regimes and
governmental bodies, national and international associations, big multinational
firms can be seen more or less interwoven policy-makers determining overall
policy outcomes. This complexity makes policy-analysis rather difficult (see
also Chapter 7 in this book).
In areas where the nation-state becomes increasingly replaced by supra-national
authorities, the institutional framework of politics still includes national
and sub-national elements. In fact, new political institutions often cross
old-established borderlines of territory or functional domains. For
instance, nuclear melt-downs at Three Mile Island in 1979 and
The move towards supra-national and sub-national arenas of decision-making,
certainly does not reduce institutional varieties. On the contrary, the
number of institutional arenas increases. The history of politics is a
history of institutional differentiation moving towards more and more
specialized, and at the same time interwoven, organizational units of
decision-making. This challenges the discipline of comparative politics
in several respects:
Below, I shall demonstrate how these points relate to the conceptual history of comparative politics. In addition, two approaches will be introduced, which seem particularly promising in regard to an institutional explanation of policy-making:
1. The notion of moveable boundaries between units of action and overlapping memberships of actors in bargaining networks, as well as interdependencies between institutional domains, should add new perspectives to comparative analysis. Such a perspective is by and large compatible with the network approach, discussed by Adrienne Windhoff-Héritier in Chapter 7 in this book.
2. Cultural norms of
behavior play an important role in explaining cross-national variations in
policy-making. Even in international bodies with unitary organizational
structures and procedural rules, members of different nationalities behave
differently in identical situations (Hofstede, 1980). For instance,
American nuclear inspectors have applied identical regulatory standards as
those of their Gennan colleagues for a completely different task (Czada, 1992),
and it is doubtful that this is only an outcome of different organizational
structures (Kelman, 1981). Often the norms of behavior embrace the
centuries of historical experience, which political or social communities have endured.
Hence, it requires historical knowledge to explain and understand actual
developments. This is an old theme mastered by the classicists of
comparative analysis - for example, de Tocqueville, Weber, Lipset and Rokkan.
5.4 The Antiformalist Revolution and its Consequences
The formal
principles of government and public policy-making are in most cases laid down
in constitutions and administrative law. So far, the process of
government has been influenced by legal rules, which vary considerably across
countries. Constitutions give rights to individuals, they constitute
individual freedom and regulate how individuals can legally participate in
public affairs. Conversely, public administrations could be called the
'operating state', executing decisions made according to constitutional
rules. Political scientists have for some time studied those formal
mechanisms under the heading of 'Comparative Government' (Finer, 1970).
After the Second World War, an alternative antiformalist approach came to the
fore. It focussed on social facts of interest intermediation and political
regulation. From this perspective, the process of government is driven by
interest groups trying to influence public policy without being directly
involved in governing. The so-called pluralist movement 'was a
sociological revolt against legal formalism: group interaction constituted the
reality of political life, operating behind the formal legal-institutional
disguises of society and the state' (Almond, 1983: 173). A bulk of
interest group studies appeared covering many countries on all
continents. Suzanne Berger (1981: 18) alleged, for instance, that in
'formulating social demands and channeling them into the political process'
interest groups gave definition to the varieties of political processes and its
outcomes in different countries.
Whereas former studies of comparative government could
rely on normative theories of law, the separation of powers, representative
government or of legal bureaucracy, the antiformalist movement was essentially
empirical in its approach. The historical richness of, for example, the
works of Truman, Beer, Ehrmann, Latham, Leiserson is still impressive, but
leaves behind a sort of discontent as far as the development of theory is
concerned (see also Chapter 2 in this book). This feeling of discontent
has been expressed by Mancur Olson quite strongly in his book on the 'Logic of
Collective Action' published in 1965. He claimed that the pluralist 'group
school' started from wrong assumptions in regard to the associability of
individuals and resulting mechanisms of group action.
Olson's argument is that sharing an interest
will not automatically lead to collective action in favor of its achievement.
From a rational choice perspective, the marginal contribution of an individual
to a lobby group would hardly increase its chances of success.
Furthermore, it is not feasible to exclude non-members from the consumption of
public goods, and certain overall policy outcomes, which result from pressure
politics. Therefore rational individuals tend to avoid becoming
due-paying members in interest associations. They instead prefer a free
ride on the actions of others. Such behavior is less likely, if not
impossible, in smaller groups. The mutuality and social control amongst
their members favor individual involvement. Most small groups often
pursue specific goods whose consumption is exclusive. Hence, it is easier
to organize as well as to manage small narrow interests groups. In
contrast, large groups are difficult to organize due to the free rider
problem. Once established, they tend to be internally divided and
therefore hampered in their attempts to represent interests in a coherent manner.
The pluralist 'group school' did not consider that
interest politics is molded by individual choices, which are in turn channelled
by organizations and interorganizational networks. The latter translate
individual choices into public ones according to the rules that are laid down
in national institutions of interest intermediation. In this way,
cross-national variations can be attributed to certain patterns of cultural
choice and to incentive structures developed in national institutional settings.
The institutionalist and rational choice perspectives clash with the pluralist
approach. Essentially, the latter approach subscribed to a functionalist
view of politics. 'It presented the notion of multifunctionality as a
property of all political structures' (Almond 1983: 180). Regardless of
their structural characteristics, competing groups were seen as demanding and
supporting public policies in a functionally equivalent manner. Thus,
even under authoritarian regimes and in developing countries, informal groups
and various forms of pluralist pressure politics appeared to drive the
political process (Linz/Stepan, 1978). Up to the early seventies,
cross-national comparisons were dominated by this more or less ethnocentric
view, which treated political systems as a variety of the American pressure
group lobbying. Implicit to this analysis was a functionalistic optimism,
which attributed policy outcomes to the beneficial consequences of the
pluralist process.
It was not until the challenge of
'corporatism' in the
mid-seventies that institutional characteristics of national systems of
interest-intermediation came to the fore. Such systems have now
been
defined as organized, hierarchically structured and more or less biased
with
respect to different wants in a society, i.e. interests are not equally
represented in the system. In several countries associations not
only
represent their members to governments, but also the government to
their
members. Thus the corporatist 'school' puts interest groups into
an
intermediary position between the government and individual citizens
(Streeck,
1984). The pluralist emphasis on pressure and influence was
replaced by
the idea of interest groups being involved in governing (Katzenstein,
1985). Thus, associations were considered to be a specific form
of
governance besides markets, states, communities or clans and firms
(Streeck/Schmitter, 1988). Both the corporatist school of interest
intermediation and Olson's logic of collective action seriously
undermined the
pluralist explanation of politics. But in a way, the corporatist
view was
even less consistent with Olson's theoretical findings than the
pluralist one
(Olson, 1986). Why should one pay for membership of an
association that
occasionally represents the government against ones own individual
interests? Nevertheless, interest associations in Sweden,
Austria, Switzerland, the Netherlands and Germany often act as
quasi-governmental bodies
regulating certain aspects of public life. Their incorporation
into
politics is part of a historically inherited institutional structure
that
cannot be deliberately changed by individual actors (Van Waarden,
1992).
From a universal rational choice perspective, it seems that they are
entrapped
by institutions forcing them into membership relations against their
own
individual interests. However, an instutionalist-cum-rational
choice
perspective suggests specific cultural expectations of how to account
for such
pattern of interdependency. Such an explanation focusses on
decision-making
styles like confrontation bargaining, problem solving (Scharpf, 1991)
which are
being produced and stabilized by processes of political socialization;
a case
of social learning within institutions which is determined by
institutional
content or spirit, rather than by institutional structures.
To illustrate this point, the problem resembles the
question of whether the roman-catholic church survived so successfully during
more than a millennium because of their hierarchical organization, or because
of the spiritual orientation and loyalty of their members. The same
problem applies to the comparative analysis of labor movements and trade-union
organizations. To concentrate on organizational properties, as
researchers do on corporatism (e.g. Schmitter, 1981), ignores such
problems. If it is true that culturally inherited orientations may
substitute the effects of formal organizations in controlling the opportunism
of actors and directing their transactional choices (North, 1981), then comparative
research has to deal with the complex interrelation of socialized actors and
historically grown institutions.
It is difficult to explain the emergence and
stability
of corporatist systems as a result of individual rational
choices.
Methodological individualism, as expressed in rational choice theories,
appears
to be incompatible with an institutionalist explanation of
politics.
Institutional macro-structures clash with individual
micro-motives. From
the viewpoint of normative and functionalist theories this is not
surprising at
all, because institutions should serve as barriers for
opportunism.
Institutions are meant to give meaning to a specific action and thereby
are
meant to reduce the possibility of alternative paths of action.
They
constrain individual choices. However, in some countries the
institutions
of interest intermediation constrain such choices more than in other
countries. There exists considerable cross-national variation in
associational density and the degree of organizational regulation of
capitalism, which cannot be explained by functional necessity.
Economies
can be governed predominantly by corporate 'clans' as is the case in
Japan (Ouchi, 1981), by voluntary associations as in Switzerland
(Farago, 1987), or by bureaucrats as
in France (Dogan, 1988; Zysman, 1984). These forms of governance
are,
however, not in constant flux. Their key feature is a pervasive
stability. Therefore we should examine patterns of political
action
within institutional systems from a comparative perspective. This
would
allow us to understand the stability, causal links and operating
mechanisms of
governance and interest intermediation in various countries, however
different
they may look superficially.
5.5 Rationality, Culture, and Patterns of Interaction
Both
comparative politics and policy analysis are intended to explain
difference. Researchers examine variations and investigate how they come
about. As has been demonstrated above, the rational choice approach holds
some resolute assumptions about the sources of variation across countries.
To assume that the political process is based on
rational choices on the micro-level of societies leaves three possible
explanations of the cross-national variations of that process. Firstly,
as preferences, means and cognitive concepts of political actors differ, the
process and outcomes of policy-making will also vary. Differences will
exist between nations, if preferences, means and concepts of actors are linked
to social and cultural environments. Secondly, the rationality of choices
is shaped or even determined by institutions. Differences between nations
would then simply reflect differences in their institutional design.
Thirdly, differences between nations can follow from specific, culturally
defined understandings of rationality. In this case, even identical
preferences, means, cause-end effect concepts and institutions could produce
different choices. These possible sources of variation do not necessarily
exclude each other.
Critics of the rational choice paradigm have always
emphasized the cultural roots of the concept (Hirschman, 1977; 1982;
March/Olsen, 1989; Douglas, 1986). The notion of a sovereign individual
is the historical product of rationalized societies. In this view,
rational choices require a specific cognitive base that has to be
learned. Historical learning leads to the assumption that the shaping of
rationalization differs across nations.
Cultures vary in the extent to which action is expected
to be carried by individual actors. This approach points to a normative
framework of rules and obligations which is external to individuality. It
determines the actor's understanding of what to do in any given
situation. According to this approach, cognitive concepts of how politics
works, play an important part in the explanation of cross-national differences
of political action. If, for instance, actors believe that a freely elected
national parliament is only an arena for discussion, but which hardly ever
functions as a decision-making arena, as has been held true for long by left
wing and right wing politicians in Germany, dictatorship appears to be just
another form of normalcy. The Weimar constitution at its time the most
modern one constructed by notable experts of law, history and the social
sciences (Bolaffi, 1989; Luthardt, 1990), did obviously not provide the
democratic institutions appropriate for political and administrative actors who
had been socialized and used to an authoritarian monarchy; especially since
this was an early developed welfare state and, thus, enjoyed a somewhat
legitimate status. To establish a highly proportional system of
parliamentary representation, and supplement this with elements of direct
democracy, was probably a wrong incentive structure for most German political
actors at that time. Otto Kirchheimer (1932) said the constitution limped
ahead of its time. Others asserted that it set up a democracy without
democrats.
This makes clear, what is meant by cultural attitudes
of actors: these are group specific orientations which can exist independent of
institutions, particularly in times of institutional change or
break-down. We then experience a cultural lag between the cognitive
orientations of actors bound to past institutions and to the newly established
institutional incentive structures. Such lags, of course, mark the limits
of institutional reform. The argument, however, is not be understood to
say that there is a somewhat genetically inherited spiritual orientation of
nationalities, clans, families or any other groupings. Instead,
subjective orientations being individually internalized although collectively
shared images of reality do not necessarily cope with changing institutional
environments without ruptures. This has been empirically shown in
numerous developmental programs throughout the Third World (Prechtel/Harland
1986). One can currently observe this, by examining the way in which West
German institutions are being transferred to the former East German territory.
It is said that the
In contrast to the view of new institutional economics
(e. g. Williamson, 1975; North, 1981), the cognitive aspect is important, not
just because it influences individual calculations, but even more so because
preferences and the perception of a situation are already shaped by
culture. For example, social equality is highly valued in the
Scandinavian countries, whereas Americans prefer individual achievement
(Lipset, 1963). Hence, the 'rationalities and irrationalities of the
nordic welfare state' (Andersen, 1988) can certainly be understood as a result
of cultural attitudes; and the same is true for American politics.
Hofstede (1981) found that 'uncertainty avoidance' varies along national
cultures. So one can assume that cultural belonging determine one's
choices, particularly when high risks are involved. This leads to another
factor in the explanation of cross-national variations of policy-making.
The rational choice paradigm is based on the
assumption that actors have perfect information and are able to make decisions
that maximize some concrete ends. It is a common-place idea, since
Herbert Simon's research on organizational decision-making showed that actors
search for satisfying instead of optimal solutions because of informational
restrictions (Simon, 1957). On the one hand, this adds to a
cultural-institutional explanation, since cultural rules and organizational
routines reduce the uncertainty and ambiguity of individual choices. On
the other hand, the concept of bounded rationality leaves room for random walks
in decision-making. If the consequences of a choice cannot be calculated
because of poor factual knowledge and ambiguities about preferences, then
problems and solutions become not only more complex but to some extent
reciprocal or circular. Actors may start from existing solutions and
apply them to unknown problems. They may alter or even discover their
motives by acting. In this way, decisions can emerge from the random
matching of solutions and problems. The 'garbage can model'
(Cohen/March/Olsen, 1972) of organizational decision-making suggests that in
the face of new problems, when actors are highly uncertain, a recombination of
existing solutions will often occur. Randomness comes in, because:
'the model assumes that problems, solutions, decision-makers, and choice opportunities are independent, exogenous streams flowing through a system. Solutions are linked to problems primarily by their simultaneity, relatively few problems are solved, and choices are made for the most part either before any problems are connected to them, or after the problems have abandoned one choice to associate themselves with another' (Olsen, 1991: 92).
Such 'garbage cans' of policy-making do establish path-dependencies,
although
there is a kind of openness in non-routinized situations which gives
room for
deviations. It follows from institutional inertia and from the bounded
rationality of decision-makers that certain solutions to political
problems
turn out to be dominant over time in certain countries. In
Germany, for instance, social welfare problems tend to be solved by
compulsory insurance
schemes. In Scandinavia, or the Netherlands, tax-based systems
with
flat-rate welfare provisions is the selected policy strategy.
Only crisis
situations, in which complex matchings of actors, problems and
solutions occur,
give room for new directions in policy-making. Transformations of
national policy-styles can, for instance, occur in the wake of
mass-unemployment, hyper-inflation, natural or technological disasters
or civil
unrest. Federalist systems can become centralized or even
deferred into
authoritarianism during economic depressions as happened in
Nazi-Germany.
Analyses of political crises show that it proves difficult to regain
control of
social perplexities' by reverting to established rules of policy-making
(Czada,
1992b), or, if they do, it leads to diminishing returns in terms of
cost-effective decision-making. The discipline of comparative
politics,
however, lacks systematic studies of institutional break down.
The loss
of rules, which characterize such situations, extend the strategic
options of
political actors.
Besides its cognitive-cultural aspects and 'garbage can'
characteristics, policies are developed in formal organizations and
inter-organizational networks as will be further elaborated in Chapter 7 in
this book. Research on corporatist interest-intermediation has shown how
organizational structures and interorganizational networks influence the
process of governmental decision-making and its policy-outcomes
(Lehmbruch/Schmitter, 1982). Lehmbruch (1984) reports on a
'neocorporatist logic of exchange' between conflicting but functionally
interdependent and institutionally linked interest organizations. This
gives way to the idea that the relations between political actors are not solely
dominated by zero-sum distributional conflicts. There are also
complementary and parallel interests (Scharpf, 1984). Political actors
may, in fact, face each other as potential competitors, as exchange-partners,
or as associates (Czada 1991: 263). In reality, the recourse to these
patterns of behavior is open to strategic choice. On can find them in
different mixtures, depending on actors' goals, available resources, changing
environments and power-dependencies.
The debate on corporatism shows that the association of convergent or joint
interests appears to be much more a theoretical problem than a practical one
for explaining relationships of political exchange or competition.
Exchanging or competing for political resources like votes, influence, status,
power leads to market-like, aggregative processes. In contrast, interest
associations supersede the transitory coupling of individual actors.
Political authority and an executive body are required in order to maintain and
manage an association. Every association of interests requires some kind
of governance in order to realize its goals, be it the state or other
organizations.
To view politics as an integrative, institutionally
shaped process instead of a mere aggregative mechanism has several implications.
Institutions have to be seen as autonomous forces. They are public goods,
which single actors cannot deliberately create or change for their own
convenience. In searching for the rational foundations of political
action, one may assume that institutional patterns of interest intermediation
offer specific pay-offs for individual and corporate actors that vary from
country to country as well as from one sector of policy-making to
another. The advantage of viewing systems of interest intermediation as
incentive structures (i.e. delineating pay-offs) instead of systemic regulative
mechanisms (i.e. adapting to problems) is threefold:
1. The conditions of political stability can be better understood by viewing the motives and choices of specific actors instead of functional adaptive mechanisms. We have seen, for instance, that industrial relations systems do not adapt automatically to specific economic problems, but unions perceive those problems according to the background of their historical experience and ideological concepts. The choices are influenced by available means and more or less speculative assumptions on the choices of other actors in society and politics. Historically persistent patterns of political choice behavior are due to the rationally motivated resistance of political actors to change. The rational motive is twofold: change entails uncertainty and high risks with respect to newly emerging social constellations, and it is expensive with respect to moving-costs and the economic as well as the cognitive burdens that are associated with change (Hechter, 1987).
2. Differences between processes of interest intermediation are no longer seen as deviations from a functional ideal-type like the pluralist equilibrium, but are instead viewed as the result of institutional incentives and consequential political action. There are different patterns of interaction like pluralist, corporatist, or sectoralist intermediation with specific rationalities and decision-making-styles. The latter are influenced by cultural orientations.
3. Forecasts and
interventions can be made, if one knows how incentive structures and behavioral
patterns determine actors' choices, and how these are then translated into
public policies by institutional processes of interest intermediation or
interest aggregation. This, however, is an ambitious claim. Whereas
institutional incentive structures and behavioral patterns of actors can be
observed and compared with the aid of conventional techniques of empirical
research, it is much more difficult to close the micro-macro link between the
choices of actors and public policies resulting from the effects of interaction
between those choices. One could, for instance, forecast, that the German
unions will discipline the wage-demands of their members in favor of the
economic closing-up of the East. It is, however, difficult to say, how
important wage-rates are as a determinant for economic growth in the east; and
one could only speculate how, for instance, the central bank, will react upon
union policies. The bank could ease monetary policy and, thus, support
economic growth. It could also take a restrictive course to counter
inflationary tendencies originating in global financial markets or
international crises, which develop quite independently from German union
policies. Thus, one at best can only construct scenarios.
In any case, the prognostic power of an actor's
approach appears to be much better than that of pure structuralist or
functionalist approaches to politics. The inquiry of the political
process should also take into account the cultural and institutional
development of the political systems under investigation. Hence, the
degree of rationality cannot be detected by a pure, or economic, concept of
rational choice, but must instead be analyzed and interpreted on the basis of
'real life' experience. One way to do this is by developing
rational-cum-institutional concepts that can 'travel' cross-nationally.
Perhaps this seems a daunting task, but it is one that ought to be undertaken.